Stumbling On Wins:

The next quantum leap beyond Moneyball, this book offers powerful new insights into all human decision-making, because if sports teams are getting it wrong this badly, how do you know you're not? Sometimes the decisions that teams make are simply inexplicable. Consider: sports teams have an immense amount of detailed, quantifiable information to draw upon, more than in virtually any other industry. They have powerful incentives for making good decisions. Everyone sees the results of their choices, and the consequences for failure are severe. And yet... they keep making the same mistakes over and over again... systematic mistakes you'd think they'd learn how to avoid. Now, two leading sports economists reveal those mistakes in basketball, baseball, football, and hockey, and explain why sports decision-makers never seem to learn their lessons. You'll learn which statistics are connected to wins, and which aren't, and which statistics can and can't predict the future. Along the way, David Berri and Martin Schmidt show why a quarterback's place in the draft tells you nothing about how he'll perform in the NFL... why basketball decision-makers don't focus on the factors that really correlate with NBA success... why famous coaches don't deliver better results... and much more.

Brown, Spoelstra, VDN: Why NBA Coaches Are the Fall Guys? - Bleacher Report


Bleacher Report

Brown, Spoelstra, VDN: Why NBA Coaches Are the Fall Guys?
Bleacher Report
According to Stumbling on Wins, an economics-based book on basketball, few coaches actually improve their teams (With Phil Jackson and Don Nelson cited as historical exceptions). While a great coach can be the difference between winning and losing a ...

Kevin Durant Impersonates Russell Westbrook for Sprint - Huffington Post


Kevin Durant Impersonates Russell Westbrook for Sprint
Huffington Post
But the words still seem quite revealing of something we noted in Stumbling On Wins (and The Wages of Wins, and in academic articles, and... okay, I said this a few times before). NBA players are primarily paid to score. So although Durant had to have ...

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NBA Playoffs 2012: What George Karl Is Doing Wrong with the Denver Nuggets - Bleacher Report


Bleacher Report

NBA Playoffs 2012: What George Karl Is Doing Wrong with the Denver Nuggets
Bleacher Report
In Stumbling on Wins, Dave looked at coaches that had players that showed a significant change in performance (accounting for factors like age and team change) under different coaches. Most coaches did not show a huge impact (with some exceptions like ...

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