The Great Stagnation: America is in disarray and our economy is failing us. We have been through the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression, unemployment remains stubbornly high, and talk of a double-dip recession persists. Americans are not pulling the world economy out of its sluggish state -- if anything we are looking to Asia to drive a recovery.Median wages have risen only slowly since the 1970s, and this multi-decade stagnation is not yet over. By contrast, the living standards of earlier generations would double every few decades. The Democratic Party seeks to expand government spending even when the middle class feels squeezed, the public sector doesn’t always perform well, and we have no good plan for paying for forthcoming entitlement spending. To the extent Republicans have a consistent platform, it consists of unrealistic claims about how tax cuts will raise revenue and stimulate economic growth. The Republicans, when they hold power, are often a bigger fiscal disaster than the Democrats. How did we get into this mess?Imagine a tropical island where the citrus and bananas hang from the trees. Low-hanging literal fruit -- you don’t even have to cook the stuff.In a figurative sense, the American economy has enjoyed lots of low-hanging fruit since at least the seventeenth century: free land; immigrant labor; and powerful new technologies. Yet during the last forty years, that low-hanging fruit started disappearing and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau and the trees are barer than we would like to think. That’s it. That is what has gone wrong.The problem won’t be solved overnight, but there are reasons to be optimistic. We simply have to recognize the underlying causes of our past prosperity—low hanging fruit—and how we will come upon more of it.

China and the Lure of the Status Quo - Reason.com

The magic formula stopped working, and the country couldn't find a new one. Its economic fortunes have come to be summarized in bleak phrases: the lost decade, the great stagnation. It's not the world's biggest economy, as people expected.

What Economists Get Wrong About Science and Technology ...

To take another example of just how rudimentary economists' understanding of the importance of technology to the economy is, look at a best-selling book that came out last year, The Great Stagnation, by prominent economist Tyler Cowen.

Cover story on American slowdown - danielbenami.com

This is the main text of my recent Fund Strategy cover story on the debate about the “great stagnation”. All the graphics can be found in the version in the magazine itself and I will post the remaining box here tomorrow. An influential alternative ...

Tyler Cowen on the great stagnation

Tyler Cowen on the great stagnation · Permalink 07:32:00 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com · Email , 7 words English (US) Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global ...

CARPE DIEM: Smart Phones and Tablets Might Be Spreading ...

MP: How does this fit in with "The Great Stagnation" hypothesis? ... The "Great Stagnation" meme was fabricated to play to people's fears during this recession, just as there were plenty pushing rosy stories of how nothing was wrong in 2007.

Cover story on “great stagnation” - danielbenami.com

My Fund Strategy cover story on “the great stagnation” – the idea that a long-term technological slowdown has hit American economic growth – is available to read here. I will paste the full text over the next few days. Tags: America, economics ...

Random Walks: "The Great Stagnation": A Review

"The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better", by Tyler Cowen. Tyler Cowen seems to be fairly bright economist. When I picked up this slim book, a 2011 NYT ...

Falkenblog: The Great Stagnation Rebuffed

The Great Stagnation Rebuffed. Given that toilet technology, the average speed on freeways, and productivity in general, has been stagnant for about 40 years, it's good to appreciate real innovations when you see it. Take the new New ...

C.R.E.A.M. – The Great Stagnation

The post WWII era between 1945-2008 was a triumph for Western liberal capitalism. The developed world has achieved something unprecedented in human history: 60 years of stability and near uninterrupted economic growth which has ...

The Great Stagnation - Written by Tyler Cowen

Tyler Cowen sees the world with a sense of clarity that sets him apart from most of the major thinkers of our time. He has the ability to look past the numbers and understand how and why economic events happen at a cultural and behavioral ...

China and the lure of the status quo - Chicago Tribune


China and the lure of the status quo
Chicago Tribune
Its economic fortunes have come to be summarized in bleak phrases: the lost decade, the great stagnation. Steve Chapman Bio | E-mail | Blog | Recent columns It's not the world's biggest economy, as people expected. In fact, it's gone from No. 2 to No.

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Buy, Sell or Hold: How Can Governments Decide? - Bloomberg


Bloomberg

Buy, Sell or Hold: How Can Governments Decide?
Bloomberg
“We thought we were richer than we were,” he writes in his book “The Great Stagnation.” The elegant simplicity of this statement explains our economic crisis, sweeping in everybody who went overboard -- governments and bankers, homeowners and investors ...

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When Will This Low-Innovation Internet Era End? - Wired News


Wired News

When Will This Low-Innovation Internet Era End?
Wired News
Economist Tyler Cowen's e-book-turned-book, The Great Stagnation, made similar points: Compared with the staggering changes in everyday life in the first half of the 20th century wrought by electricity, cars, and electronic communication, ...

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'Real News From The Blaze': Stagnation Nation - TheBlaze.com


'Real News From The Blaze': Stagnation Nation
TheBlaze.com
... of the New York Post notes that “even if you believe the garbage-in-garbage-out economic models that say Obama's trillion-dollar stimulus averted a 1930s repeat, it's sadly apparent we've stumbled from the Great Recession into the Great Stagnation.

While Bam 'Spikes' - New York Post


New York Post

While Bam 'Spikes'
New York Post
Even if you believe the garbage-in-garbage-out economic models that say Obama's trillion-dollar stimulus averted a 1930s repeat, it's sadly apparent we've stumbled from the Great Recession into the Great Stagnation. Consider: In the 11 quarters of the ...

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Lost in space - Fundweb


Fundweb

Lost in space
Fundweb
The Great Stagnation was widely and largely positively reviewed in high profile publications such as the Financial Times (by Martin Wolf), the New York Times (by David Brooks) and the Wall Street Journal. The Economist even named it one of the best ...

Food for Thought from Tyler Cowen - Sustainable Business Forum


Food for Thought from Tyler Cowen
Sustainable Business Forum
His short ebook, The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All The Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better, is very smart, and a bargain at $3.99: It argues that what ails the US economy is not merely the ...

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The Fed Isn't Responsible For Runaway Inequality - Seeking Alpha


The Fed Isn't Responsible For Runaway Inequality
Seeking Alpha
... nominal income to those that are indexed), to seriously claim that inflation (and therefore the Fed) is responsible for rising inequality and the great stagnation of the US middle classes doesn't pass even the most elementary testing of the data.

A Different Look at GDP and Inflation - Business Insider


A Different Look at GDP and Inflation
Business Insider
Over time, Reaganomic trickle-down, free market policies have given us first, the Great Stagnation, and ultimately the worst economic crisis in 80 years. These policies were, by no coincidence at all, quite similar to those in effect when the Great ...

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Nobel Laureate Robert Merton: Is US Job Growth Happening in Vietnam? - PBS NewsHour


PBS NewsHour

Nobel Laureate Robert Merton: Is US Job Growth Happening in Vietnam?
PBS NewsHour
and, tangentially in "The Great Stagnation: Why Hasn't Recent Technology Created More Jobs?" Is unemployment in this era a function of structural vulnerabilities -- to global competition from cheap labor, for example -- as opposed to cyclical, ...

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